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Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

ActiveLiquidity $813.0K·Volume $9.3M·Ends Nov 8, 2028
Price now:Yes0%No100%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 03:30computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Yes
0% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
0%price0%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$1,649 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$28
72h +$40
Smart money entered0.9¢0.4¢at 03:30(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy1h agoResolvesin 728d(Nov 8, 2028)Liquidity$813.0K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $1,649 riding on it.

The price of 0% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 0.9¢; the price was 0.4¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$28, +$40 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 03:30
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes0.3¢$12
1h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes0.3¢$12
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes0.3¢$0
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes0.3¢$0
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes0.3¢$0
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes0.3¢$0
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes0.3¢$0
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes0.3¢$0
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes0.3¢$0
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes0.3¢$0
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes0.3¢$0
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes0.3¢$0
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes0.3¢$0
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes0.3¢$0
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes0.3¢$0
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes0.3¢$0
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes0.3¢$0
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes0.3¢$0
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes0.3¢$0
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes0.3¢$0
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes0.3¢$0
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes0.3¢$0
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes0.3¢$0
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes0.3¢$0
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes0.3¢$2
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes0.3¢$2
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes0.3¢$0
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes0.3¢$0
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes0.3¢$0
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes0.3¢$0
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes0.3¢$0
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes0.3¢$0
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes0.3¢$0
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes0.3¢$0
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes0.3¢$0
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes0.3¢$0
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes0.3¢$2
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes0.3¢$2
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes0.3¢$0
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes0.3¢$0
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes0.3¢$0
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes0.3¢$0
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes0.3¢$0
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes0.3¢$0
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes0.3¢$0
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes0.3¢$0
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes0.3¢$0
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes0.3¢$0
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes0.3¢$0
2d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes0.3¢$0