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Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $41.0K·Volume $229.2K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes2%No99%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 06:51computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$19.7K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$1,919
Smart money entered98¢99¢at 06:51(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$41.0K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $19.7K riding on it.

The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$1,919 on this position.

Delayed 1h · as of 06:51
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1d agostupid22MidSellNo99¢$53
2d agostupid22MidBuyNo97¢$585
2d agoAlegrandebigMidBuyNo98¢$391
2d agoAlegrandebigMidBuyNo98¢$391
2d agostupid22MidBuyNo97¢$585
5d agostupid22MidBuyNo99¢$7,496
5d agoAlegrandebigMidSellNo99¢$7,492
5d agostupid22MidBuyNo98¢$6,807
5d agostupid22MidSellNo98¢$65
5d agostupid22MidSellNo98¢$26
6d agostupid22MidSellNo98¢$84
1w agoAlegrandebigMidBuyNo98¢$53
1w agoAlegrandebigMidBuyNo98¢$630
1w agostupid22MidBuyNo98¢$174
1w agoAlegrandebigMidBuyNo98¢$138
1w agoAlegrandebigMidBuyNo98¢$352
1w agoAlegrandebigMidBuyNo98¢$1,473
1w agoAlegrandebigMidBuyNo98¢$393
1w agoAlegrandebigMidSellNo98¢$4,832
1w agoAlegrandebigMidBuyNo98¢$39
1w agoAlegrandebigMidBuyNo98¢$294
1w agoAlegrandebigMidBuyNo98¢$5
1w agoAlegrandebigMidBuyNo98¢$5
1w agoAlegrandebigMidBuyNo98¢$49
1w agoAlegrandebigMidBuyNo98¢$195
1w agoAlegrandebigMidBuyNo98¢$98
1w agoAlegrandebigMidBuyNo98¢$98
2w agoAlegrandebigMidBuyNo98¢$98
2w agoAlegrandebigMidBuyNo98¢$195
2w agoAlegrandebigMidBuyNo98¢$98
2w agoAlegrandebigMidBuyNo97¢$126
2w agoAlegrandebigMidBuyNo98¢$293
2w agoAlegrandebigMidBuyNo97¢$68
2w agoAlegrandebigMidBuyNo98¢$195
2w agoAlegrandebigMidBuyNo98¢$147
2w agoAlegrandebigMidBuyNo98¢$588
2w agoAlegrandebigMidBuyNo98¢$49
2w agoThanksGivingTurkey1001MidSellNo98¢$369
2w agoAlegrandebigMidBuyNo98¢$782
2w agoThanksGivingTurkey1001MidSellNo98¢$685
2w agoAlegrandebigMidBuyNo98¢$685
2w agoThanksGivingTurkey1001MidSellNo98¢$391
2w agoAlegrandebigMidBuyNo98¢$391
2w agoThanksGivingTurkey1001MidSellNo98¢$81
2w agoAlegrandebigMidBuyNo97¢$98
2w agoAlegrandebigMidBuyNo97¢$65
2w agoAlegrandebigMidBuyNo97¢$32
2w agoAlegrandebigMidBuyNo97¢$278
2w agoThanksGivingTurkey1001MidSellNo98¢$2
3w agoAlegrandebigMidBuyNo97¢$112