Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
ActiveLiquidity $963.6K·Volume $14.9M·Ends Nov 8, 2028
Price now:Yes27%No73%
Smart money leans
No
73% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.1pp
model below price
Consensus
74%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
73%price73%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$39.1K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
-$2,619
72h -$4,063
Smart money entered77¢73¢at 21:36Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 728d(Nov 8, 2028)Liquidity$963.6K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are strongly betting on "No", with $39.1K riding on it.
The price of 73% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 77¢; the price was 73¢ at this snapshot.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been trimming this position (-$2,619, -$4,063 over 3 days) — a sign conviction may be fading.
Delayed 1h · as of 21:36
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 73¢ | $104 |
| 4h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 73¢ | $104 |
| 4h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 73¢ | $9 |
| 4h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 73¢ | $9 |
| 4h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 73¢ | $734 |
| 4h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 73¢ | $734 |
| 5h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 73¢ | $26 |
| 5h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 73¢ | $16 |
| 5h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 73¢ | $16 |
| 5h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 73¢ | $22 |
| 5h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 73¢ | $15 |
| 5h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 73¢ | $15 |
| 5h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 73¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 73¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 73¢ | $270 |
| 6h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 73¢ | $264 |
| 6h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 73¢ | $264 |
| 6h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 73¢ | $7 |
| 6h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 73¢ | $7 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 74¢ | $209 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 74¢ | $209 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 74¢ | $505 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 74¢ | $505 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 74¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 74¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 74¢ | $171 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 74¢ | $175 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 73¢ | $2,924 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 73¢ | $1,101 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 73¢ | $1,101 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 74¢ | $594 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 74¢ | $594 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 74¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 74¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 74¢ | $148 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 74¢ | $26 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 74¢ | $26 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 74¢ | $18 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 74¢ | $57 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 74¢ | $57 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 74¢ | $90 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 74¢ | $90 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 74¢ | $740 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 74¢ | $740 |
| 2d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 74¢ | $16 |
| 2d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 74¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 74¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 74¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 74¢ | $155 |
| 2d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 74¢ | $480 |