Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
ActiveLiquidity $11.9K·Volume $23.4K·Ends Apr 18, 2027
Price now:Yes19%No81%
Smart money leans
No
81% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
81%price81%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$977 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered71¢81¢at 11:41(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 158d(Apr 18, 2027)Liquidity$11.9K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $977 riding on it.
The price of 81% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 71¢; the price was 81¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $977 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 11:41
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 71¢ | $67 |
| 5w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 68¢ | $34 |
| 6w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 68¢ | $46 |
| 6w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 69¢ | $43 |
| 6w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 69¢ | $164 |
| 6w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 72¢ | $216 |
| 7w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 73¢ | $65 |
| 7w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 73¢ | $34 |
| 7w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 74¢ | $27 |
| 7w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 74¢ | $37 |
| 7w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 74¢ | $11 |
| 7w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 74¢ | $14 |
| 8w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 74¢ | $127 |
| 8w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 74¢ | $1 |
| 8w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 74¢ | $5 |
| 8w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 73¢ | $59 |
| 9w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 72¢ | $29 |