Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by March 31, 2027?
ActiveLiquidity $45.8K·Volume $44.5K·Ends Apr 1, 2027
Price now:Yes22%No78%
Smart money leans
No
79% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
79%price79%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$2,240 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered75¢79¢at 07:23(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3d agoResolvesin 141d(Apr 1, 2027)Liquidity$45.8K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $2,240 riding on it.
The price of 79% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 75¢; the price was 79¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $2,240 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:23
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | No | 74¢ | $748 |
| 4d ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | No | 75¢ | $1,515 |