US imports Russian diesel by November 15?
ActiveLiquidity $10.4K·Volume $82.5K·Ends Nov 16, 2026
Price now:Yes1%No99%
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$1,105 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,896
72h +$1,915
Smart money entered98¢99¢at 00:02(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesin 5d(Nov 16, 2026)Liquidity$10.4K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $1,105 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,105 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,896, +$1,915 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 00:02