Will Olivier Faure be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
ActiveLiquidity $14.5K·Volume $8,582·Ends Apr 18, 2027
Price now:Yes4%No96%
Smart money leans
No
96% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
96%price96%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$533 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$534
Smart money entered96¢96¢at 07:47(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesin 159d(Apr 18, 2027)Liquidity$14.5K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $533 riding on it.
The price of 96% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 96¢; the price was 96¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $533 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$534 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:47
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $533 |