Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
ActiveLiquidity $198.7K·Volume $36.1M·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes1%No99%
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$6,239 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
-$22
72h -$33
Smart money entered97¢99¢at 17:52(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3d agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$198.7K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $6,239 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 97¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $6,239 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been trimming this position (-$22, -$33 over 3 days) — a sign conviction may be fading.
Delayed 1h · as of 17:52
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18h ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 99¢ | $11 |
| 18h ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 99¢ | $11 |
| 1d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 99¢ | $11 |
| 3d ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $10 |
| 4d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $1,760 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $57 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $508 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $2,091 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $62 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1,451 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $535 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $169 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $10 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $10 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $197 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $488 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $488 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $488 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $488 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $488 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $488 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $315 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $488 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $488 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $488 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $6,013 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $488 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $488 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $488 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $295 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $14,625 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 97¢ | $5 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 97¢ | $5 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $536 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $23,920 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $5,388 |
| 8w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 97¢ | $194 |
| 8w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 97¢ | $1,390 |
| 9w ago | lava-lavaTop | Sell | No | 97¢ | $2,545 |