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Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?

ActiveLiquidity $18.2K·Volume $341.2K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes20%No81%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 21:49computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Yes
20% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
62%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
20%price20%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$559 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h -$438
Smart money entered78¢20¢at 21:49Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$18.2K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are somewhat betting on "Yes", with $559 riding on it.

The price of 20% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 78¢; the price was 20¢ at this snapshot.

Note: only $559 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have trimmed -$438 on this position.

Delayed 1h · as of 21:49
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
2d agoMTDTopSellYes21¢$448
10w agoMTDTopSellYes20¢$4