Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $104.6K·Volume $971.3K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes2%No98%
Smart money leans
No
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$24.1K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered89¢98¢at 11:41(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6d agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$104.6K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $24.1K riding on it.
The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 89¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Delayed 1h · as of 11:41
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6d ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $32 |
| 6d ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $44 |
| 6d ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $32 |
| 6d ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $44 |
| 6d ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $32 |
| 6d ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $55 |
| 9w ago | justme003Mid | Sell | No | 97¢ | $439 |
| 11w ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $1,746 |
| 11w ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $9,533 |
| 11w ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $185 |
| 11w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 7.0¢ | $4 |
| 11w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 7.0¢ | $4 |
| 11w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 7.0¢ | $4 |
| 12w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 7.0¢ | $116 |