Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $128.1K·Volume $1.3M·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes1%No99%
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$40.8K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$5,955
Smart money entered97¢99¢at 05:33(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$128.1K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $40.8K riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 97¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$5,955 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:33
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $2,958 |
| 1d ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $2,958 |
| 1w ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $4,711 |
| 1w ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $1,833 |
| 3w ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $9,848 |
| 3w ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1,896 |
| 4w ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $5,172 |
| 6w ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $6 |
| 7w ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $7,583 |
| 7w ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $4,678 |
| 10w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 2.7¢ | $53 |
| 10w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 3.1¢ | $0 |
| 10w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 3.1¢ | $3 |
| 10w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 3.1¢ | $0 |
| 10w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 3.1¢ | $1 |
| 10w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 3.5¢ | $0 |
| 10w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 3.5¢ | $4 |
| 10w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 3.5¢ | $7 |
| 10w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 3.5¢ | $0 |
| 10w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 3.5¢ | $1 |
| 10w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 3.5¢ | $0 |
| 10w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 3.7¢ | $1 |
| 10w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 3.7¢ | $27 |
| 10w ago | boyauMid | Buy | Yes | 3.6¢ | $16 |
| 11w ago | boyauMid | Buy | Yes | 3.6¢ | $0 |
| 11w ago | boyauMid | Buy | Yes | 3.6¢ | $37 |
| 11w ago | boyauMid | Buy | Yes | 3.6¢ | $34 |
| 11w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 4.0¢ | $5 |
| 11w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 3.7¢ | $0 |
| 11w ago | boyauMid | Buy | Yes | 2.6¢ | $1 |
| 11w ago | boyauMid | Buy | Yes | 3.2¢ | $32 |
| 11w ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 2.8¢ | $10 |
| 11w ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 2.8¢ | $10 |
| 11w ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 2.8¢ | $0 |