Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $261.7K·Volume $5.1M·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes99%No1%
Smart money leans
Yes
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
99%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
49
$711.0K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$117.3K
72h +$147.9K
Smart money entered88¢99¢at 06:52(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3h agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$261.7K
Explanation
49 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $711.0K riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 88¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$117.3K, +$147.9K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:52