Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $63.0K·Volume $371.2K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes3%No97%
Smart money leans
No
97% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
97%price97%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$23.9K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered93¢97¢at 07:43(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$63.0K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $23.9K riding on it.
The price of 97% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 93¢; the price was 97¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $23.9K of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:43
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $236 |
| 1w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $2,345 |
| 1w ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $722 |
| 1w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $2,460 |
| 1w ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $963 |
| 1w ago | Optimus-Mid | Sell | No | 96¢ | $1,976 |
| 2w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $2,686 |
| 3w ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | No | 95¢ | $562 |
| 3w ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | No | 96¢ | $567 |
| 5w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $9 |
| 5w ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $5 |
| 5w ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $69 |
| 5w ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $469 |
| 5w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $195 |
| 5w ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $5 |
| 5w ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $5 |
| 7w ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $256 |
| 7w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $1,261 |
| 7w ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | No | 92¢ | $1,047 |
| 7w ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | No | 92¢ | $46 |
| 7w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $1,942 |
| 7w ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | No | 92¢ | $728 |
| 11w ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 88¢ | $9 |
| 11w ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 88¢ | $145 |
| 11w ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $170 |
| 11w ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $450 |
| 11w ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $450 |
| 11w ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $449 |
| 11w ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 84¢ | $673 |
| 11w ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $6 |
| 11w ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $1 |
| 11w ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $2 |
| 11w ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $1 |
| 11w ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $389 |
| 11w ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 86¢ | $342 |
| 11w ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 86¢ | $684 |
| 11w ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 88¢ | $439 |
| 12w ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $448 |
| 12w ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $448 |
| 12w ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $96 |
| 12w ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $6 |
| 12w ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $347 |
| 12w ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $451 |
| 12w ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $451 |
| 12w ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $450 |
| 12w ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | No | 92¢ | $43 |
| 12w ago | thoodrMid | Sell | No | 92¢ | $4,162 |
| 13w ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $452 |