Will Yaron Zelekha be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?
ActiveLiquidity $11.0K·Volume $18.9K·Ends Mar 1, 2027
Price now:Yes2%No98%
Smart money leans
No
98% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$600 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$39
Smart money entered98¢98¢at 07:45(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy2d agoResolvesin 110d(Mar 1, 2027)Liquidity$11.0K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $600 riding on it.
The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $600 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$39 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:45
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $39 |
| 6d ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $20 |
| 1w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $191 |
| 1w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $77 |
| 1w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $234 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Sell | No | 97¢ | $38 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Sell | No | 94¢ | $32 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $182 |
| 1w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $76 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $654 |
| 1w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $347 |
| 3w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | No | 83¢ | $117 |
| 3w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | No | 82¢ | $415 |
| 3w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | No | 78¢ | $226 |