US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30?
ActiveLiquidity $3,336·Volume $60.4K·Ends Nov 30, 2026
Price now:Yes91%No9%
Smart money leans
Yes
91% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
91%price91%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$2,604 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered89¢91¢at 18:45(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 20d(Nov 30, 2026)Liquidity$3,336
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $2,604 riding on it.
The price of 91% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 89¢; the price was 91¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $2,604 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 18:45
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | pIebeTop | Buy | Yes | 89¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | pIebeTop | Buy | Yes | 89¢ | $4 |
| 4d ago | pIebeTop | Buy | Yes | 87¢ | $4 |
| 4d ago | pIebeTop | Buy | Yes | 88¢ | $4 |
| 4d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | Yes | 89¢ | $202 |
| 4d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | Yes | 89¢ | $40 |
| 4d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | Yes | 89¢ | $13 |
| 5d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | Yes | 93¢ | $5 |
| 5d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $644 |
| 5d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | Yes | 89¢ | $10 |
| 5d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | Yes | 92¢ | $5 |
| 5d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | Yes | 91¢ | $107 |
| 5d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | Yes | 91¢ | $84 |
| 6d ago | pIebeTop | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $9 |
| 6d ago | pIebeTop | Buy | Yes | 88¢ | $1,490 |