Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by December 31?
ActiveLiquidity $2,257·Volume $98.0K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes7%No93%
Smart money leans
No
93% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
93%price93%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$567 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered92¢93¢at 07:05(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4d agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$2,257
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $567 riding on it.
The price of 93% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 92¢; the price was 93¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $567 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:05
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4d ago | DumplingBMFMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $26 |
| 2w ago | DumplingBMFMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $37 |
| 4w ago | ponydsbMid | Sell | No | 95¢ | $27 |
| 4w ago | ponydsbMid | Sell | No | 95¢ | $19 |
| 5w ago | DumplingBMFMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $455 |
| 9w ago | DumplingBMFMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $49 |
| 10w ago | ponydsbMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $45 |