Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
ActiveLiquidity $118.3K·Volume $5.4M·Ends Oct 28, 2026
Price now:Yes5%No96%
Smart money leans
No
95% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
69%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
95%price95%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$56.8K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered97¢95¢at 07:26Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6d agoResolvesended(Oct 28, 2026)Liquidity$118.3K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are strongly betting on "No", with $56.8K riding on it.
The price of 95% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 97¢; the price was 95¢ at this snapshot.
Note: only $56.8K of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:26
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $28 |
| 1h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $28 |
| 19h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 4.6¢ | $31 |
| 19h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 4.6¢ | $31 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Sell | Yes | 7.3¢ | $50 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Sell | Yes | 7.3¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Sell | Yes | 7.3¢ | $91 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Sell | Yes | 8.3¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Sell | Yes | 8.3¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Sell | Yes | 8.3¢ | $94 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Sell | Yes | 8.3¢ | $94 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Sell | Yes | 8.3¢ | $32 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Sell | Yes | 8.3¢ | $32 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Sell | Yes | 7.6¢ | $152 |
| 1d ago | lastminwinMid | Sell | Yes | 7.6¢ | $152 |
| 2d ago | pbshineMid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $38 |
| 2d ago | pbshineMid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $52 |
| 2d ago | pbshineMid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | pbshineMid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | pbshineMid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | pbshineMid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | pbshineMid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 3d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 6.9¢ | $105 |
| 3d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 6.9¢ | $3 |
| 3d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 6.9¢ | $4 |
| 3d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 6.9¢ | $1 |
| 3d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 6.9¢ | $6 |
| 3d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 6.9¢ | $4 |
| 3d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $7 |
| 4d ago | debasedMid | Sell | Yes | 9.4¢ | $8 |
| 4d ago | debasedMid | Sell | Yes | 9.4¢ | $28 |
| 4d ago | debasedMid | Sell | Yes | 9.4¢ | $39 |
| 4d ago | debasedMid | Sell | Yes | 9.4¢ | $28 |
| 4d ago | debasedMid | Sell | Yes | 9.4¢ | $15 |
| 4d ago | debasedMid | Sell | Yes | 9.4¢ | $34 |
| 4d ago | cashyMid | Buy | Yes | 4.6¢ | $4 |
| 4d ago | cashyMid | Buy | Yes | 4.6¢ | $1 |
| 4d ago | pbshineMid | Sell | Yes | 7.5¢ | $317 |
| 4d ago | debasedMid | Sell | Yes | 7.4¢ | $30 |
| 4d ago | debasedMid | Sell | Yes | 9.4¢ | $72 |
| 4d ago | debasedMid | Sell | Yes | 7.4¢ | $9 |
| 5d ago | debasedMid | Sell | Yes | 7.4¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | debasedMid | Sell | Yes | 7.4¢ | $13 |
| 5d ago | debasedMid | Sell | Yes | 7.4¢ | $23 |
| 5d ago | debasedMid | Sell | Yes | 7.4¢ | $30 |
| 5d ago | debasedMid | Sell | Yes | 7.4¢ | $20 |
| 5d ago | debasedMid | Sell | Yes | 7.4¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | debasedMid | Sell | Yes | 7.4¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | debasedMid | Sell | Yes | 7.4¢ | $3 |
| 5d ago | debasedMid | Sell | Yes | 4.1¢ | $146 |