Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $31.4K·Volume $182.3K·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes80%No20%
Smart money leans
Yes
80% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
98%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
80%price80%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$6,705 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,866
72h +$1,866
Smart money entered59¢80¢at 07:17(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4h agoResolvesin 20d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$31.4K
Explanation
5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $6,705 riding on it.
The price of 80% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 59¢; the price was 80¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,866, +$1,866 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:17
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h ago | UdonsanTop | Buy | Yes | 82¢ | $37 |
| 4h ago | UdonsanTop | Buy | Yes | 82¢ | $37 |
| 5h ago | 0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816Mid | Buy | Yes | 76¢ | $58 |
| 11h ago | 0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816Mid | Buy | Yes | 76¢ | $15 |
| 11h ago | eCashTop | Buy | Yes | 77¢ | $23 |
| 11h ago | eCashTop | Buy | Yes | 77¢ | $62 |
| 11h ago | eCashTop | Buy | Yes | 77¢ | $54 |
| 11h ago | eCashTop | Buy | Yes | 77¢ | $7 |
| 11h ago | eCashTop | Buy | Yes | 77¢ | $17 |
| 11h ago | eCashTop | Buy | Yes | 77¢ | $15 |
| 13h ago | eCashTop | Buy | Yes | 77¢ | $23 |
| 13h ago | eCashTop | Buy | Yes | 77¢ | $26 |
| 13h ago | eCashTop | Buy | Yes | 77¢ | $15 |
| 13h ago | eCashTop | Buy | Yes | 77¢ | $25 |
| 13h ago | eCashTop | Buy | Yes | 77¢ | $2 |
| 14h ago | 0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816Mid | Buy | Yes | 76¢ | $1,174 |
| 16h ago | eCashTop | Buy | Yes | 78¢ | $195 |
| 1d ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 29¢ | $30 |
| 1d ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 29¢ | $29 |
| 2d ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | No | 27¢ | $19 |
| 4d ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 31¢ | $6 |
| 4d ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Sell | No | 27¢ | $14 |
| 4d ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Sell | No | 29¢ | $6 |
| 5d ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Sell | No | 30¢ | $3 |
| 5d ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Sell | No | 30¢ | $4 |
| 5d ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Sell | No | 30¢ | $17 |
| 5d ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Sell | No | 30¢ | $4 |
| 5d ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Sell | No | 30¢ | $2 |
| 5d ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 30¢ | $31 |
| 5d ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Sell | No | 30¢ | $41 |
| 5d ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Sell | No | 30¢ | $10 |
| 5d ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 30¢ | $75 |
| 1w ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | No | 27¢ | $27 |
| 1w ago | eCashTop | Buy | Yes | 67¢ | $844 |
| 1w ago | eCashTop | Buy | Yes | 71¢ | $352 |
| 1w ago | eCashTop | Buy | Yes | 71¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | eCashTop | Buy | Yes | 72¢ | $72 |
| 2w ago | eCashTop | Buy | Yes | 47¢ | $235 |
| 2w ago | eCashTop | Buy | Yes | 48¢ | $288 |
| 2w ago | troimMid | Buy | Yes | 49¢ | $975 |
| 2w ago | eCashTop | Buy | Yes | 56¢ | $132 |
| 2w ago | eCashTop | Buy | Yes | 56¢ | $13 |
| 2w ago | eCashTop | Buy | Yes | 56¢ | $22 |
| 2w ago | eCashTop | Buy | Yes | 57¢ | $1,024 |
| 2w ago | seal7Top | Buy | Yes | 53¢ | $100 |
| 3w ago | troimMid | Buy | Yes | 49¢ | $5 |
| 3w ago | troimMid | Buy | Yes | 43¢ | $127 |
| 3w ago | troimMid | Buy | Yes | 43¢ | $70 |
| 3w ago | troimMid | Buy | Yes | 43¢ | $58 |
| 3w ago | troimMid | Buy | Yes | 43¢ | $57 |