US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $168.9K·Volume $5.8M·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes34%No67%
Smart money leans
No
66% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
74%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
66%price66%model est.*
Smart wallets
10
$128.9K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
-$3,582
72h +$38.2K
Smart money entered57¢66¢at 17:12(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 50d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$168.9K
Explanation
10 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are strongly betting on "No", with $128.9K riding on it.
The price of 66% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 57¢; the price was 66¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been trimming this position (-$3,582, +$38.2K over 3 days) — a sign conviction may be fading.
Delayed 1h · as of 17:12
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 34¢ | $172 |
| 1h ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 34¢ | $172 |
| 3h ago | Rafael88Top | Sell | No | 66¢ | $631 |
| 3h ago | Rafael88Top | Sell | No | 66¢ | $631 |
| 8h ago | DragontreeMid | Buy | Yes | 34¢ | $190 |
| 9h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Sell | Yes | 35¢ | $13 |
| 9h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Sell | Yes | 35¢ | $13 |
| 9h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Sell | Yes | 35¢ | $123 |
| 9h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Sell | Yes | 35¢ | $123 |
| 15h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 35¢ | $75 |
| 15h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 35¢ | $2 |
| 15h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 35¢ | $75 |
| 15h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 35¢ | $2 |
| 16h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 35¢ | $77 |
| 16h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 35¢ | $1,170 |
| 16h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 35¢ | $78 |
| 16h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 35¢ | $78 |
| 16h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 35¢ | $77 |
| 16h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 35¢ | $1,170 |
| 17h ago | DragontreeMid | Buy | Yes | 35¢ | $177 |
| 17h ago | DragontreeMid | Buy | Yes | 35¢ | $177 |
| 17h ago | DragontreeMid | Buy | Yes | 35¢ | $0 |
| 17h ago | DragontreeMid | Buy | Yes | 35¢ | $5 |
| 17h ago | DragontreeMid | Buy | Yes | 35¢ | $5 |
| 17h ago | DragontreeMid | Buy | Yes | 35¢ | $0 |
| 17h ago | DragontreeMid | Buy | Yes | 35¢ | $600 |
| 17h ago | DragontreeMid | Buy | Yes | 35¢ | $600 |
| 17h ago | DragontreeMid | Buy | Yes | 35¢ | $1 |
| 17h ago | DragontreeMid | Buy | Yes | 35¢ | $14 |
| 17h ago | DragontreeMid | Buy | Yes | 35¢ | $352 |
| 17h ago | DragontreeMid | Buy | Yes | 35¢ | $1,589 |
| 17h ago | DragontreeMid | Buy | Yes | 35¢ | $1,367 |
| 17h ago | hugecaulkMid | Sell | No | 65¢ | $190 |
| 17h ago | hugecaulkMid | Sell | No | 65¢ | $777 |
| 18h ago | DragontreeMid | Buy | Yes | 35¢ | $2 |
| 18h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 36¢ | $79 |
| 18h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 36¢ | $79 |
| 18h ago | DragontreeMid | Buy | Yes | 35¢ | $262 |
| 18h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 36¢ | $144 |
| 18h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 36¢ | $80 |
| 18h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 36¢ | $144 |
| 18h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 36¢ | $80 |
| 20h ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | No | 63¢ | $92 |
| 20h ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | No | 63¢ | $227 |
| 21h ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | No | 63¢ | $939 |
| 1d ago | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402Mid | Buy | No | 61¢ | $6 |
| 1d ago | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402Mid | Buy | No | 61¢ | $6 |
| 1d ago | pbshineMid | Buy | No | 61¢ | $611 |
| 1d ago | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402Mid | Buy | No | 61¢ | $67 |
| 1d ago | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402Mid | Buy | No | 61¢ | $67 |