Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $113.6K·Volume $19.0M·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes1%No99%
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$39.0K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
-$740
72h -$12.1K
Smart money entered92¢99¢at 16:08(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$113.6K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $39.0K riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 92¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $39.0K of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been trimming this position (-$740, -$12.1K over 3 days) — a sign conviction may be fading.
Delayed 1h · as of 16:08
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5h ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 99¢ | $740 |
| 1d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 99¢ | $11,321 |
| 5d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $5,280 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $305 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $1,960 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $1,960 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $114 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $549 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $30 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $89 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $382 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $23 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $151 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $5,702 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $43,659 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $9 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $9 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | DropperTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $7,150 |
| 10w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 96¢ | $5,372 |
| 10w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 96¢ | $342 |
| 10w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 96¢ | $26 |
| 10w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 96¢ | $48 |
| 10w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 96¢ | $4 |
| 10w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 96¢ | $11 |
| 10w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 96¢ | $10 |
| 10w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 96¢ | $131 |
| 10w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 96¢ | $7 |
| 10w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 96¢ | $17 |
| 10w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 96¢ | $19 |
| 10w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 96¢ | $11 |
| 10w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 96¢ | $66 |
| 10w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 96¢ | $12 |
| 10w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 96¢ | $1 |
| 10w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 96¢ | $3,572 |
| 10w ago | lava-lavaTop | Sell | No | 96¢ | $3,783 |
| 10w ago | lava-lavaTop | Sell | No | 96¢ | $179 |
| 10w ago | lava-lavaTop | Sell | No | 96¢ | $44 |
| 10w ago | lava-lavaTop | Sell | No | 96¢ | $61 |
| 10w ago | lava-lavaTop | Sell | No | 96¢ | $96 |
| 10w ago | lava-lavaTop | Sell | No | 96¢ | $70 |
| 10w ago | lava-lavaTop | Sell | No | 96¢ | $69 |
| 10w ago | lava-lavaTop | Sell | No | 96¢ | $36 |
| 10w ago | lava-lavaTop | Sell | No | 96¢ | $62 |
| 10w ago | lava-lavaTop | Sell | No | 96¢ | $76 |
| 10w ago | lava-lavaTop | Sell | No | 96¢ | $27 |
| 10w ago | lava-lavaTop | Sell | No | 96¢ | $31 |
| 10w ago | lava-lavaTop | Sell | No | 96¢ | $35 |
| 10w ago | lava-lavaTop | Sell | No | 96¢ | $5 |