Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
ActiveLiquidity $15.8K·Volume $13.5K·Ends Mar 1, 2027
Price now:Yes3%No97%
Smart money leans
No
97% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
97%price97%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$1,535 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered84¢97¢at 07:15(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 110d(Mar 1, 2027)Liquidity$15.8K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $1,535 riding on it.
The price of 97% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 84¢; the price was 97¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:15
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 84¢ | $235 |
| 1w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 82¢ | $28 |
| 1w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 87¢ | $645 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | No | 84¢ | $152 |
| 1w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | No | 84¢ | $20 |
| 1w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | No | 84¢ | $85 |
| 2w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | No | 76¢ | $185 |
| 2w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | No | 85¢ | $244 |
| 2w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $34 |
| 2w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Sell | Yes | 11¢ | $10 |
| 3w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.1¢ | $0 |
| 3w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.1¢ | $0 |
| 3w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.1¢ | $0 |
| 3w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.1¢ | $0 |
| 3w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.1¢ | $0 |
| 3w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.1¢ | $0 |
| 3w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.1¢ | $0 |
| 3w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.1¢ | $0 |