Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?
ActiveLiquidity $2,302·Volume $58.9K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes6%No95%
Smart money leans
No
95% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
95%price95%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,967 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$335
72h +$335
Smart money entered91¢95¢at 07:41(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5h agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$2,302
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $1,967 riding on it.
The price of 95% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 91¢; the price was 95¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,967 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$335, +$335 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:41
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $124 |
| 5h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $124 |
| 11h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 92¢ | $42 |
| 11h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 92¢ | $42 |
| 4d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $551 |
| 4d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 92¢ | $766 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 88¢ | $222 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 82¢ | $3 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 82¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 86¢ | $13 |
| 1w ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 84¢ | $22 |
| 1w ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 84¢ | $1 |
| 2w ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 84¢ | $17 |
| 2w ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 84¢ | $209 |