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Israeli election results in a hung parliament?

ActiveLiquidity $30.6K·Volume $153.5K·Ends Oct 27, 2026
Price now:Yes32%No69%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 06:45computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Yes
32% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.1pp
model above price
Consensus
60%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
32%price32%model est.*
Smart wallets
10
$4,788 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$754
72h +$1,250
Smart money entered35¢32¢at 06:45(0% priced in)Edge left+0.1ppLast smart buy7h agoResolvesended(Oct 27, 2026)Liquidity$30.6K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

10 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are somewhat betting on "Yes", with $4,788 riding on it.

The price of 32% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 35¢; the price was 32¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$754, +$1,250 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 06:45
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes29¢$60
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes29¢$60
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes30¢$6
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes30¢$6
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes30¢$30
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes30¢$84
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes30¢$30
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes30¢$84
21h agokekkoneMidBuyYes32¢$7
21h agokekkoneMidBuyYes32¢$24
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes30¢$163
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes30¢$163
1d agokekkoneMidSellYes34¢$34
1d agokekkoneMidBuyYes30¢$30
2d agokekkoneMidBuyYes28¢$56
2d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes29¢$58
2d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes30¢$120
2d agoMissaoComFlavioMidBuyNo70¢$1,083
2d agokekkoneMidBuyYes30¢$30
2d agokekkoneMidBuyYes31¢$31
2d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes29¢$58
2d agokekkoneMidBuyYes30¢$30
2d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes30¢$120
2d agokekkoneMidBuyYes31¢$31
2d agoMissaoComFlavioMidBuyNo70¢$1,070
2d agokekkoneMidBuyYes32¢$1
2d agokekkoneMidBuyYes32¢$26
2d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes33¢$159
2d agokekkoneMidSellYes30¢$231
3d agokekkoneMidBuyYes32¢$32
3d agocashyMidSellYes32¢$300
3d agokekkoneMidBuyYes34¢$34
4d agoHolyMoses7MidBuyYes31¢$63
5d agoshiifooMidBuyYes33¢$11
5d agoshiifooMidBuyYes33¢$3
5d agoMeckyMidSellYes34¢$91
5d agokekkoneMidBuyYes35¢$39
5d agokekkoneMidBuyYes37¢$4
5d agoshiifooMidBuyYes34¢$35
5d agoifyoulovemeTopSellYes35¢$180
5d agokekkoneMidBuyYes34¢$34
5d agokekkoneMidBuyYes37¢$8
5d agokekkoneMidBuyYes36¢$4
5d agokekkoneMidBuyYes35¢$35
5d agokekkoneMidBuyYes36¢$36
5d agoshiifooMidBuyYes33¢$3
5d agoshiifooMidBuyYes33¢$26
5d agoshiifooMidBuyYes33¢$10
5d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes41¢$41
5d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes40¢$89