Israeli election results in a hung parliament?
ActiveLiquidity $30.6K·Volume $153.5K·Ends Oct 27, 2026
Price now:Yes32%No69%
Smart money leans
Yes
32% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.1pp
model above price
Consensus
60%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
32%price32%model est.*
Smart wallets
10
$4,788 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$754
72h +$1,250
Smart money entered35¢32¢at 06:45(0% priced in)Edge left+0.1ppLast smart buy7h agoResolvesended(Oct 27, 2026)Liquidity$30.6K
Explanation
10 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are somewhat betting on "Yes", with $4,788 riding on it.
The price of 32% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 35¢; the price was 32¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$754, +$1,250 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:45
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 29¢ | $60 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 29¢ | $60 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $6 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $6 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $30 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $84 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $30 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $84 |
| 21h ago | kekkoneMid | Buy | Yes | 32¢ | $7 |
| 21h ago | kekkoneMid | Buy | Yes | 32¢ | $24 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $163 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $163 |
| 1d ago | kekkoneMid | Sell | Yes | 34¢ | $34 |
| 1d ago | kekkoneMid | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $30 |
| 2d ago | kekkoneMid | Buy | Yes | 28¢ | $56 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 29¢ | $58 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $120 |
| 2d ago | MissaoComFlavioMid | Buy | No | 70¢ | $1,083 |
| 2d ago | kekkoneMid | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $30 |
| 2d ago | kekkoneMid | Buy | Yes | 31¢ | $31 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 29¢ | $58 |
| 2d ago | kekkoneMid | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $30 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $120 |
| 2d ago | kekkoneMid | Buy | Yes | 31¢ | $31 |
| 2d ago | MissaoComFlavioMid | Buy | No | 70¢ | $1,070 |
| 2d ago | kekkoneMid | Buy | Yes | 32¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | kekkoneMid | Buy | Yes | 32¢ | $26 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 33¢ | $159 |
| 2d ago | kekkoneMid | Sell | Yes | 30¢ | $231 |
| 3d ago | kekkoneMid | Buy | Yes | 32¢ | $32 |
| 3d ago | cashyMid | Sell | Yes | 32¢ | $300 |
| 3d ago | kekkoneMid | Buy | Yes | 34¢ | $34 |
| 4d ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 31¢ | $63 |
| 5d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 33¢ | $11 |
| 5d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 33¢ | $3 |
| 5d ago | MeckyMid | Sell | Yes | 34¢ | $91 |
| 5d ago | kekkoneMid | Buy | Yes | 35¢ | $39 |
| 5d ago | kekkoneMid | Buy | Yes | 37¢ | $4 |
| 5d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 34¢ | $35 |
| 5d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Sell | Yes | 35¢ | $180 |
| 5d ago | kekkoneMid | Buy | Yes | 34¢ | $34 |
| 5d ago | kekkoneMid | Buy | Yes | 37¢ | $8 |
| 5d ago | kekkoneMid | Buy | Yes | 36¢ | $4 |
| 5d ago | kekkoneMid | Buy | Yes | 35¢ | $35 |
| 5d ago | kekkoneMid | Buy | Yes | 36¢ | $36 |
| 5d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 33¢ | $3 |
| 5d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 33¢ | $26 |
| 5d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 33¢ | $10 |
| 5d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 41¢ | $41 |
| 5d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 40¢ | $89 |