Will Benny Gantz be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
ActiveLiquidity $4,188·Volume $3,962·Ends Mar 1, 2027
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$406 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered99¢100¢at 07:26(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3w agoResolvesin 110d(Mar 1, 2027)Liquidity$4,188
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $406 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $406 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:26
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 1.0¢ | $4 |
| 3w ago | cashyMid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $406 |
| 3w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 4w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $2 |
| 4w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 1.3¢ | $4 |
| 4w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 4w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 4w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $1 |
| 5w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $4 |
| 5w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $921 |
| 5w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $2 |