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Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?

ActiveLiquidity $16.4K·Volume $249.6K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes11%No89%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 07:06Smart money exiting · $159 sold 24hcomputed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
88% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
55%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
88%price88%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$649 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
-$159
72h -$164
Smart money entered55¢88¢at 07:06(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3w agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$16.4K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are narrowly leaning toward betting on "No", with $649 riding on it.

The price of 88% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 55¢; the price was 88¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Warning: wallets that backed "No" are now net selling it — followers usually exit when the wallets they follow do.

Note: only $649 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been trimming this position (-$159, -$164 over 3 days) — a sign conviction may be fading.

Delayed 1h · as of 07:06
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
11h ago080526TopSellNo88¢$52
11h ago080526TopSellNo88¢$52
13h agoRdogTestTopSellNo88¢$6
13h agoRdogTestTopSellNo88¢$6
13h ago080526TopSellNo88¢$16
15h agoRdogTestTopSellNo88¢$6
15h agoRdogTestTopSellNo88¢$6
15h agoRdogTestTopSellNo88¢$6
15h agoRdogTestTopSellNo88¢$6
15h ago080526TopSellNo88¢$2
2d ago080526TopSellNo90¢$5
3d agoRdogTestTopSellNo90¢$9
3d ago080526TopSellNo90¢$25
3d ago080526TopSellNo90¢$64
3d ago080526TopSellNo90¢$76
3d ago080526TopSellNo90¢$13
3d ago080526TopSellNo90¢$13
3d ago080526TopSellNo90¢$20
3d ago080526TopSellNo90¢$50
3d ago080526TopSellNo90¢$6
3d ago080526TopSellNo90¢$12
5d agoRdogTestTopSellNo91¢$18
5d ago080526TopSellNo91¢$17
5d agoRdogTestTopSellNo91¢$35
5d ago080526TopSellNo91¢$236
1w agoRdogTestTopSellNo89¢$23
1w agoRdogTestTopSellNo89¢$23
1w ago080526TopSellNo89¢$23
1w ago080526TopSellNo89¢$23
1w agonmnrTopSellNo89¢$5
1w agonmnrTopSellNo89¢$8
1w agonmnrTopSellNo89¢$13
1w agonmnrTopSellNo89¢$16
1w agoeCashTopBuyYes12¢$26
2w agonmnrTopSellNo79¢$4
2w agonmnrTopSellNo79¢$4
2w agonmnrTopSellNo79¢$4
2w ago080526TopSellNo79¢$137
2w ago080526TopSellNo79¢$137
2w ago080526TopSellNo79¢$137
2w agoRdogTestTopSellNo79¢$18
2w agoRdogTestTopSellNo79¢$18
2w agoRdogTestTopSellNo79¢$18
3w ago080526TopSellNo76¢$5
3w ago080526TopSellNo76¢$5
3w agoRdogTestTopSellNo77¢$18
3w agoRdogTestTopSellNo77¢$7
3w agoRdogTestTopSellNo74¢$23
3w agoRdogTestTopSellNo75¢$9
3w agoRdogTestTopSellNo75¢$9