Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?
ActiveLiquidity $16.4K·Volume $249.6K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes11%No89%
Smart-money signal
What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 07:06Smart money exiting · $159 sold 24hcomputed 1h agoSmart money leans
No
88% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
55%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
88%price88%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$649 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
-$159
72h -$164
Smart money entered55¢88¢at 07:06(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3w agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$16.4K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are narrowly leaning toward betting on "No", with $649 riding on it.
The price of 88% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 55¢; the price was 88¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Warning: wallets that backed "No" are now net selling it — followers usually exit when the wallets they follow do.
Note: only $649 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been trimming this position (-$159, -$164 over 3 days) — a sign conviction may be fading.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:06
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11h ago | 080526Top | Sell | No | 88¢ | $52 |
| 11h ago | 080526Top | Sell | No | 88¢ | $52 |
| 13h ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | No | 88¢ | $6 |
| 13h ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | No | 88¢ | $6 |
| 13h ago | 080526Top | Sell | No | 88¢ | $16 |
| 15h ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | No | 88¢ | $6 |
| 15h ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | No | 88¢ | $6 |
| 15h ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | No | 88¢ | $6 |
| 15h ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | No | 88¢ | $6 |
| 15h ago | 080526Top | Sell | No | 88¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 080526Top | Sell | No | 90¢ | $5 |
| 3d ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | No | 90¢ | $9 |
| 3d ago | 080526Top | Sell | No | 90¢ | $25 |
| 3d ago | 080526Top | Sell | No | 90¢ | $64 |
| 3d ago | 080526Top | Sell | No | 90¢ | $76 |
| 3d ago | 080526Top | Sell | No | 90¢ | $13 |
| 3d ago | 080526Top | Sell | No | 90¢ | $13 |
| 3d ago | 080526Top | Sell | No | 90¢ | $20 |
| 3d ago | 080526Top | Sell | No | 90¢ | $50 |
| 3d ago | 080526Top | Sell | No | 90¢ | $6 |
| 3d ago | 080526Top | Sell | No | 90¢ | $12 |
| 5d ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | No | 91¢ | $18 |
| 5d ago | 080526Top | Sell | No | 91¢ | $17 |
| 5d ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | No | 91¢ | $35 |
| 5d ago | 080526Top | Sell | No | 91¢ | $236 |
| 1w ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | No | 89¢ | $23 |
| 1w ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | No | 89¢ | $23 |
| 1w ago | 080526Top | Sell | No | 89¢ | $23 |
| 1w ago | 080526Top | Sell | No | 89¢ | $23 |
| 1w ago | nmnrTop | Sell | No | 89¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | nmnrTop | Sell | No | 89¢ | $8 |
| 1w ago | nmnrTop | Sell | No | 89¢ | $13 |
| 1w ago | nmnrTop | Sell | No | 89¢ | $16 |
| 1w ago | eCashTop | Buy | Yes | 12¢ | $26 |
| 2w ago | nmnrTop | Sell | No | 79¢ | $4 |
| 2w ago | nmnrTop | Sell | No | 79¢ | $4 |
| 2w ago | nmnrTop | Sell | No | 79¢ | $4 |
| 2w ago | 080526Top | Sell | No | 79¢ | $137 |
| 2w ago | 080526Top | Sell | No | 79¢ | $137 |
| 2w ago | 080526Top | Sell | No | 79¢ | $137 |
| 2w ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | No | 79¢ | $18 |
| 2w ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | No | 79¢ | $18 |
| 2w ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | No | 79¢ | $18 |
| 3w ago | 080526Top | Sell | No | 76¢ | $5 |
| 3w ago | 080526Top | Sell | No | 76¢ | $5 |
| 3w ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | No | 77¢ | $18 |
| 3w ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | No | 77¢ | $7 |
| 3w ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | No | 74¢ | $23 |
| 3w ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | No | 75¢ | $9 |
| 3w ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | No | 75¢ | $9 |