Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $19.5K·Volume $604.9K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes4%No96%
Smart money leans
No
96% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
96%price96%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$546 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered49¢96¢at 22:01(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$19.5K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $546 riding on it.
The price of 96% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 49¢; the price was 96¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $546 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 22:01
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 72¢ | $80 |