Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $178.8K·Volume $3.6M·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes1%No99%
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
99%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
14
$139.1K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,192
72h +$9,095
Smart money entered52¢99¢at 06:37(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$178.8K
Explanation
14 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $139.1K riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 52¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,192, +$9,095 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:37
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $3 |
| 4h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 0.2¢ | $2 |
| 4h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 0.6¢ | $1 |
| 4h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 0.3¢ | $7 |
| 4h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 0.4¢ | $0 |
| 4h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 0.4¢ | $4 |
| 4h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 0.3¢ | $7 |
| 4h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 0.4¢ | $0 |
| 4h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 0.4¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 99¢ | $541 |
| 1d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 99¢ | $541 |
| 1d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 99¢ | $51 |
| 1d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 99¢ | $51 |
| 1d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 99¢ | $591 |
| 1d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 99¢ | $127 |
| 1d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $384 |
| 1d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $384 |
| 1d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $11 |
| 1d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $11 |
| 1d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 99¢ | $1,055 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 99¢ | $219 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 99¢ | $1,481 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 99¢ | $219 |
| 2d ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $340 |
| 2d ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $169 |
| 2d ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $161 |
| 2d ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $650 |
| 2d ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $653 |
| 2d ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $270 |
| 2d ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $270 |
| 2d ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $148 |
| 2d ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $20 |
| 2d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 99¢ | $45 |
| 2d ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $69 |
| 2d ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $97 |
| 3d ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $72 |
| 3d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 99¢ | $396 |
| 3d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 99¢ | $652 |
| 3d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 99¢ | $95 |
| 3d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 99¢ | $397 |
| 3d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 99¢ | $790 |
| 3d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 99¢ | $85 |
| 3d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 99¢ | $111 |
| 3d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 99¢ | $752 |
| 3d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 99¢ | $91 |
| 3d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 99¢ | $49 |
| 3d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 99¢ | $49 |
| 3d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 99¢ | $49 |
| 3d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 99¢ | $1,188 |