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Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?

ActiveLiquidity $2,930·Volume $46.2K·Ends Jan 1, 2028
Price now:Yes10%No90%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 02:26computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Yes
10% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
10%price10%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$430 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h -$173
Smart money entered23¢10¢at 02:26(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppSignal age30dResolvesin 416d(Jan 1, 2028)Liquidity$2,930
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $430 riding on it.

The price of 10% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 23¢; the price was 10¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $430 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have trimmed -$173 on this position.

Delayed 1h · as of 02:26
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
2d ago0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876MidSellYes15¢$251
3w ago0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876MidSellYes18¢$4
3w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes17¢$0
4w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes23¢$12
4w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes23¢$2
4w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes23¢$1
4w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes24¢$1
5w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes23¢$1
5w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes26¢$7
5w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes27¢$9
5w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes34¢$2
5w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes34¢$10
5w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes35¢$4
5w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes23¢$5
5w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes23¢$2
5w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes23¢$6
5w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes18¢$9
5w agoStarMasterMidSellYes20¢$92
7w ago0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876MidBuyYes15¢$19
7w ago0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876MidBuyYes15¢$6
7w ago0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876MidBuyYes15¢$8
7w ago0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876MidBuyYes15¢$5
7w ago0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876MidBuyYes19¢$272
8w agoStarMasterMidBuyYes41¢$42
8w ago0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876MidBuyYes30¢$38
8w agoseal7TopBuyYes23¢$1,160
8w agoStarMasterMidSellYes23¢$28
8w agoJesetradingTopBuyYes23¢$186
8w agoStarMasterMidBuyYes22¢$113