Will Ho Hsin-chun win the next Taichung Mayor election?
ActiveLiquidity $42.2K·Volume $43.1K·Ends Nov 29, 2026
Price now:Yes18%No82%
Smart money leans
No
82% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
82%price82%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,186 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,874
72h +$1,874
Smart money entered80¢82¢at 07:04(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4h agoResolvesin 18d(Nov 29, 2026)Liquidity$42.2K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $1,186 riding on it.
The price of 82% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 80¢; the price was 82¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,186 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,874, +$1,874 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:04
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h ago | 0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816Mid | Buy | No | 80¢ | $134 |
| 8h ago | 0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816Mid | Buy | No | 80¢ | $408 |
| 13h ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Sell | No | 83¢ | $6 |
| 14h ago | 0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816Mid | Buy | No | 80¢ | $645 |
| 14h ago | 0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816Mid | Buy | No | 80¢ | $645 |
| 1d ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 79¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 79¢ | $4 |
| 3d ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 77¢ | $78 |
| 1w ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $27 |
| 1w ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $1 |