Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $135.5K·Volume $733.8K·Ends Dec 31, 2026
Price now:Yes1%No99%
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$3,059 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered97¢99¢at 07:43(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3w agoResolvesin 50d(Dec 31, 2026)Liquidity$135.5K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $3,059 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 97¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:43
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $96 |
| 3w ago | classifiedMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $8 |
| 3w ago | classifiedMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $8 |
| 3w ago | classifiedMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1,165 |
| 5w ago | classifiedMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $655 |
| 5w ago | classifiedMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $6 |
| 5w ago | classifiedMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $5 |
| 5w ago | classifiedMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $23 |
| 5w ago | classifiedMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $49 |
| 9w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Sell | No | 96¢ | $1 |