Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?
ActiveLiquidity $12.7K·Volume $38.9K·Ends Sep 21, 2026
Price now:Yes96%No4%
Smart money leans
Yes
96% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
96%price96%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$837 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered93¢96¢at 11:52(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesended(Sep 21, 2026)Liquidity$12.7K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $837 riding on it.
The price of 96% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 93¢; the price was 96¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $837 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 11:52
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 90¢ | $45 |
| 1w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 90¢ | $9 |
| 1w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 90¢ | $180 |
| 1w ago | StarMasterMid | Sell | Yes | 56¢ | $149 |
| 1w ago | StarMasterMid | Sell | Yes | 85¢ | $47 |
| 1w ago | StarMasterMid | Sell | Yes | 63¢ | $211 |
| 1w ago | StarMasterMid | Sell | Yes | 90¢ | $67 |
| 1w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 90¢ | $9 |
| 1w ago | StarMasterMid | Sell | Yes | 90¢ | $18 |
| 1w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 90¢ | $9 |
| 1w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $9 |
| 1w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 93¢ | $9 |
| 7w ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $299 |
| 7w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 93¢ | $937 |
| 8w ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 8.0¢ | $53 |
| 8w ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 9.0¢ | $67 |
| 8w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 9.0¢ | $149 |
| 9w ago | JAMJAMJAM4Mid | Buy | Yes | 73¢ | $30 |