Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $57.6K·Volume $310.0K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes14%No86%
Smart money leans
No
86% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.1pp
model above price
Consensus
99%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
86%price86%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$18.4K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$20.5K
Smart money entered86¢86¢at 07:45(0% priced in)Edge left+0.1ppLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$57.6K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $18.4K riding on it.
The price of 86% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 86¢; the price was 86¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $18.4K of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$20.5K on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:45