Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
ActiveLiquidity $18.2K·Volume $203.6K·Ends Jan 3, 2027
Price now:Yes98%No2%
Smart money leans
Yes
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
89%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$2,000 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered97¢98¢at 06:56(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 53d(Jan 3, 2027)Liquidity$18.2K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $2,000 riding on it.
The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 97¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $2,000 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:56
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 5.0¢ | $7 |
| 1w ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 5.0¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 3.8¢ | $61 |
| 11w ago | 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518Mid | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $501 |
| 12w ago | 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518Mid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $1,502 |