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Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $313.8K·Volume $2.0M·Ends Apr 1, 2027
Price now:Yes11%No89%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 03:08computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
89% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
87%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
89%price89%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$16.8K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered93¢89¢at 03:08(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy4d agoResolvesin 141d(Apr 1, 2027)Liquidity$313.8K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $16.8K riding on it.

The price of 89% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 93¢; the price was 89¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $16.8K of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Delayed 1h · as of 03:08
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
4d agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo88¢$630
4d agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo88¢$205
4d agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo88¢$127
4d agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo88¢$760
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo88¢$319
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo89¢$44
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo89¢$1,418
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidSellYes11¢$7
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidSellYes11¢$50
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidSellYes11¢$50
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidSellYes11¢$1
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidSellYes11¢$5
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidSellYes11¢$44
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidSellYes10¢$4
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidSellYes10¢$3
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidSellYes10¢$4
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidSellYes10¢$4
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidSellYes10¢$35
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidSellYes10¢$44
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidSellYes10¢$21
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidSellYes10¢$9
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidSellYes10¢$35
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidSellYes10¢$12
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidSellYes10¢$23
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidSellYes10¢$49
1w agoCUTJALENHURTSMidBuyYes6.2¢$484
1w agoCUTJALENHURTSMidBuyYes6.2¢$6
1w agoCUTJALENHURTSMidBuyYes6.2¢$222
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo93¢$827
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo93¢$19
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo94¢$777
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidSellYes6.5¢$1
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidSellYes6.5¢$73
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidSellYes6.5¢$77
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidSellYes6.5¢$177
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidSellYes6.5¢$228
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidSellYes6.5¢$316
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo93¢$47
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo93¢$898
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo93¢$194
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidSellYes6.5¢$2
1w agoCUTJALENHURTSMidBuyYes6.1¢$807
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidSellYes6.1¢$233
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidSellYes6.1¢$484
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo94¢$19
1w agoCUTJALENHURTSMidBuyYes5.9¢$0
1w agoCUTJALENHURTSMidBuyYes5.9¢$1
1w agoCUTJALENHURTSMidBuyYes5.9¢$71
1w agoCUTJALENHURTSMidBuyYes5.9¢$0
1w agoCUTJALENHURTSMidBuyYes5.9¢$6