Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $32.4K·Volume $528.7K·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes99%No1%
Smart money leans
Yes
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
9
$15.1K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered52¢99¢at 06:26(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3d agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$32.4K
Explanation
9 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $15.1K riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 52¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:26
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d ago | aenews2Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $19 |
| 4d ago | Trump2028Top | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $12 |
| 4d ago | Trump2028Top | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $22 |
| 5d ago | Trump2028Top | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $75 |
| 5d ago | Trump2028Top | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $133 |
| 5d ago | Trump2028Top | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $162 |
| 5d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $1,373 |
| 5d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $102 |
| 5d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $498 |
| 5d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $17 |
| 5d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $164 |
| 5d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $386 |
| 5d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $33 |
| 5d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $444 |
| 5d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $475 |
| 5d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $468 |
| 5d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $9 |
| 5d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $498 |
| 5d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $149 |
| 5d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $140 |
| 5d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $149 |
| 5d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $49 |
| 5d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $9 |
| 5d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $12 |
| 6d ago | Trump2028Top | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $57 |
| 6d ago | nonkenny90Mid | Sell | Yes | 98¢ | $1,048 |
| 6d ago | nonkenny90Mid | Sell | Yes | 98¢ | $806 |
| 6d ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $1,874 |
| 6d ago | 0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907eMid | Sell | Yes | 97¢ | $194 |
| 1w ago | Trump2028Top | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $103 |
| 1w ago | Trump2028Top | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $39 |
| 1w ago | Trump2028Top | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $100 |
| 1w ago | Trump2028Top | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $114 |
| 1w ago | Trump2028Top | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $25 |
| 1w ago | Trump2028Top | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $86 |
| 1w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | Yes | 79¢ | $145 |
| 1w ago | ssddssdMid | Buy | Yes | 79¢ | $78 |
| 1w ago | ssddssdMid | Buy | Yes | 79¢ | $80 |
| 1w ago | ssddssdMid | Buy | Yes | 82¢ | $472 |
| 1w ago | ssddssdMid | Buy | Yes | 82¢ | $118 |
| 1w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | Yes | 88¢ | $766 |
| 1w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | Yes | 88¢ | $209 |
| 1w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | No | 11¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | No | 11¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | No | 11¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | No | 11¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | No | 11¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | No | 11¢ | $106 |
| 1w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | No | 11¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | JabJabichTop | Sell | Yes | 91¢ | $165 |