Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
ActiveLiquidity $63.3K·Volume $1.9M·Ends Jan 4, 2027
Price now:Yes3%No97%
Smart money leans
No
97% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
97%price97%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$37.3K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered89¢97¢at 16:41(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 54d(Jan 4, 2027)Liquidity$63.3K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $37.3K riding on it.
The price of 97% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 89¢; the price was 97¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Delayed 1h · as of 16:41
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $952 |
| 1w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $1,428 |
| 1w ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Sell | No | 95¢ | $1,009 |
| 1w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 93¢ | $405 |
| 2w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 90¢ | $2,700 |
| 4w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $2,827 |
| 4w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $2,827 |
| 4w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 94¢ | $533 |
| 4w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 94¢ | $1 |
| 4w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 93¢ | $32 |
| 4w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 94¢ | $32 |
| 4w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 93¢ | $34 |
| 4w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 93¢ | $19 |
| 4w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $1 |
| 5w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $366 |
| 5w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 94¢ | $79 |
| 5w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $1,399 |
| 5w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 93¢ | $288 |
| 5w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 93¢ | $12 |
| 5w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 93¢ | $20 |
| 5w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 93¢ | $324 |
| 5w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 92¢ | $552 |
| 5w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $551 |
| 5w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 93¢ | $141 |
| 5w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $1,256 |
| 5w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $470 |
| 5w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $1,904 |
| 5w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $33 |
| 5w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $26 |
| 5w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $484 |
| 5w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $952 |
| 5w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $952 |
| 5w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $952 |
| 5w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 94¢ | $209 |
| 5w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 92¢ | $7,384 |
| 5w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $35 |
| 6w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 92¢ | $461 |
| 6w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $466 |
| 6w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $1,119 |
| 6w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $4,663 |
| 7w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 86¢ | $327 |
| 7w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 86¢ | $103 |
| 8w ago | 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05Mid | Buy | Yes | 17¢ | $878 |
| 9w ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | No | 84¢ | $36 |
| 9w ago | 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05Mid | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $11 |
| 9w ago | 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05Mid | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $7 |
| 9w ago | 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05Mid | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $4 |
| 9w ago | 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05Mid | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $70 |
| 9w ago | 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05Mid | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $559 |
| 9w ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | No | 86¢ | $94 |