US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $17.6K·Volume $294.5K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes7%No94%
Smart money leans
No
94% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
94%price94%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$415 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered68¢94¢at 21:13(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4w agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$17.6K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $415 riding on it.
The price of 94% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 68¢; the price was 94¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $415 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 21:13
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3w ago | LulaVaiPerderTop | Sell | No | 89¢ | $333 |
| 3w ago | LulaVaiPerderTop | Sell | No | 89¢ | $89 |
| 4w ago | LulaVaiPerderTop | Buy | No | 84¢ | $94 |
| 4w ago | LulaVaiPerderTop | Buy | No | 84¢ | $185 |
| 8w ago | LulaVaiPerderTop | Sell | No | 86¢ | $289 |
| 8w ago | LulaVaiPerderTop | Sell | No | 86¢ | $79 |
| 8w ago | LulaVaiPerderTop | Sell | No | 87¢ | $91 |
| 8w ago | LulaVaiPerderTop | Sell | No | 88¢ | $162 |