Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $2,602·Volume $79.8K·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$447 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$442
72h +$1,908
Smart money entered62¢100¢at 18:25(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3h agoResolvesin 9h 34m(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$2,602
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $447 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 62¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $447 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$442, +$1,908 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 18:25
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $220 |
| 3h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $220 |
| 1d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 56¢ | $20 |
| 1d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 56¢ | $20 |
| 1d ago | EuanTop | Buy | Yes | 55¢ | $12 |
| 1d ago | EuanTop | Buy | Yes | 55¢ | $491 |
| 1d ago | EuanTop | Buy | Yes | 55¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | EuanTop | Buy | Yes | 55¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | EuanTop | Buy | Yes | 55¢ | $12 |
| 1d ago | EuanTop | Buy | Yes | 55¢ | $12 |
| 1d ago | EuanTop | Buy | Yes | 55¢ | $14 |
| 1d ago | EuanTop | Buy | Yes | 55¢ | $14 |
| 1d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 62¢ | $234 |
| 3d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Sell | No | 38¢ | $69 |
| 3d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Sell | No | 42¢ | $111 |
| 3d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Sell | No | 40¢ | $4 |
| 4d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Sell | No | 54¢ | $115 |
| 5d ago | EuanTop | Buy | Yes | 29¢ | $157 |
| 5d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $200 |
| 6d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $313 |