Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
ActiveLiquidity $373.0K·Volume $1.9M·Ends Nov 8, 2028
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
Yes
0% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
0%price0%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$251 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered0.2¢0.1¢at 06:38(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy5d agoResolvesin 728d(Nov 8, 2028)Liquidity$373.0K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $251 riding on it.
The price of 0% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 0.2¢; the price was 0.1¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $251 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.