Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
ActiveLiquidity $125.3K·Volume $655.0K·Ends Nov 30, 2026
Price now:Yes94%No7%
Smart money leans
Yes
92% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
96%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
92%price92%model est.*
Smart wallets
8
$50.6K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$315
72h +$315
Smart money entered81¢92¢at 11:46(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesin 19d(Nov 30, 2026)Liquidity$125.3K
Explanation
8 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $50.6K riding on it.
The price of 92% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 81¢; the price was 92¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$315, +$315 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 11:46
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | fbetMid | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $18 |
| 1h ago | fbetMid | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $478 |
| 1h ago | fbetMid | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $310 |
| 1h ago | fbetMid | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | No | 8.0¢ | $16 |
| 2d ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | No | 8.0¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 8.0¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | No | 8.0¢ | $8 |
| 5d ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | No | 10¢ | $21 |
| 5d ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | Yes | 91¢ | $44 |
| 5d ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | No | 10¢ | $10 |
| 6d ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | Yes | 87¢ | $88 |
| 6d ago | 4751346Mid | Sell | Yes | 89¢ | $89 |
| 6d ago | Executor398Mid | Buy | Yes | 89¢ | $19,084 |
| 1w ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | Yes | 86¢ | $178 |
| 1w ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | Yes | 86¢ | $178 |
| 1w ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | Yes | 86¢ | $178 |
| 1w ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $178 |
| 1w ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $178 |
| 1w ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $178 |
| 1w ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | No | 16¢ | $35 |
| 1w ago | 4751346Mid | Sell | Yes | 84¢ | $42 |
| 1w ago | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402Mid | Buy | Yes | 81¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | 4751346Mid | Sell | Yes | 83¢ | $83 |
| 1w ago | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402Mid | Buy | Yes | 81¢ | $17 |
| 1w ago | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402Mid | Buy | Yes | 81¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402Mid | Buy | Yes | 81¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402Mid | Buy | Yes | 81¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402Mid | Buy | Yes | 81¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402Mid | Buy | Yes | 81¢ | $247 |
| 1w ago | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402Mid | Buy | Yes | 81¢ | $121 |
| 1w ago | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402Mid | Buy | Yes | 81¢ | $595 |
| 1w ago | 4751346Mid | Buy | Yes | 82¢ | $82 |
| 1w ago | pkzMid | Buy | Yes | 82¢ | $2,339 |
| 1w ago | pkzMid | Buy | Yes | 82¢ | $23 |
| 1w ago | pkzMid | Buy | Yes | 82¢ | $61 |
| 1w ago | pkzMid | Buy | Yes | 82¢ | $37 |
| 2w ago | 4751346Mid | Sell | Yes | 83¢ | $29 |
| 2w ago | 4751346Mid | Sell | Yes | 83¢ | $80 |
| 2w ago | 4751346Mid | Sell | Yes | 83¢ | $1 |
| 2w ago | 4751346Mid | Buy | Yes | 82¢ | $92 |
| 2w ago | 4751346Mid | Buy | Yes | 82¢ | $30 |
| 2w ago | 4751346Mid | Sell | Yes | 83¢ | $46 |
| 2w ago | 4751346Mid | Buy | Yes | 82¢ | $30 |
| 2w ago | 4751346Mid | Sell | Yes | 83¢ | $10 |
| 2w ago | 4751346Mid | Buy | Yes | 82¢ | $9 |
| 2w ago | 4751346Mid | Buy | Yes | 82¢ | $2 |
| 2w ago | 4751346Mid | Sell | Yes | 84¢ | $199 |
| 2w ago | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402Mid | Buy | Yes | 81¢ | $4 |
| 2w ago | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402Mid | Buy | Yes | 81¢ | $12 |