US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?
ActiveLiquidity $128.0K·Volume $403.4K·Ends Apr 1, 2027
Price now:Yes66%No35%
Smart money leans
Yes
66% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
92%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
66%price66%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$10.6K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$582
72h +$5,075
Smart money entered68¢66¢at 07:16(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy8h agoResolvesin 141d(Apr 1, 2027)Liquidity$128.0K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $10.6K riding on it.
The price of 66% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 68¢; the price was 66¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$582, +$5,075 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:16
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | No | 35¢ | $50 |
| 3h ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | No | 35¢ | $175 |
| 4h ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | No | 35¢ | $1 |
| 4h ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | No | 35¢ | $34 |
| 4h ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | No | 35¢ | $8 |
| 7h ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | No | 35¢ | $3 |
| 8h ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | No | 35¢ | $84 |
| 8h ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | No | 35¢ | $100 |
| 8h ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | No | 35¢ | $70 |
| 8h ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | No | 35¢ | $33 |
| 8h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 66¢ | $147 |
| 8h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 66¢ | $147 |
| 11h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 67¢ | $7 |
| 11h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 67¢ | $7 |
| 11h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 67¢ | $18 |
| 11h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 67¢ | $18 |
| 11h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 67¢ | $124 |
| 11h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 67¢ | $124 |
| 1d ago | ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoGMid | Buy | No | 32¢ | $20 |
| 1d ago | ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoGMid | Buy | No | 32¢ | $20 |
| 1d ago | pantomimeMid | Buy | No | 31¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | pantomimeMid | Buy | No | 31¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 66¢ | $66 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 67¢ | $67 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 69¢ | $69 |
| 1d ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | No | 35¢ | $542 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 66¢ | $66 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 67¢ | $67 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 69¢ | $69 |
| 1d ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | No | 35¢ | $542 |
| 1d ago | classifiedMid | Sell | Yes | 71¢ | $362 |
| 1d ago | classifiedMid | Sell | Yes | 71¢ | $362 |
| 1d ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | No | 26¢ | $51 |
| 1d ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | No | 26¢ | $51 |
| 1d ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | No | 28¢ | $744 |
| 1d ago | classifiedMid | Sell | Yes | 84¢ | $53 |
| 1d ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | No | 27¢ | $77 |
| 1d ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 74¢ | $3,654 |
| 1d ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | No | 27¢ | $24 |
| 1d ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | No | 27¢ | $24 |
| 1d ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | No | 27¢ | $27 |
| 1d ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | No | 28¢ | $36 |
| 1d ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | No | 27¢ | $7 |
| 1d ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | No | 27¢ | $7 |
| 1d ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | No | 28¢ | $36 |
| 1d ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | No | 27¢ | $27 |
| 1d ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | No | 28¢ | $26 |
| 1d ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | No | 28¢ | $78 |
| 1d ago | classifiedMid | Buy | Yes | 68¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | classifiedMid | Buy | Yes | 68¢ | $10 |