US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $93.2K·Volume $2.2M·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes14%No86%
Smart money leans
No
87% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.4pp
model below price
Consensus
70%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
87%price87%model est.*
Smart wallets
13
$128.6K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$16.9K
72h +$57.4K
Smart money entered77¢87¢at 07:22Edge leftnoneLast smart buy7h agoResolvesin 20d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$93.2K
Explanation
13 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are strongly betting on "No", with $128.6K riding on it.
The price of 87% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 77¢; the price was 87¢ at this snapshot.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$16.9K, +$57.4K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:22
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $20 |
| 1h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $20 |
| 1h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $13 |
| 1h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $13 |
| 1h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $96 |
| 1h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $229 |
| 1h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $96 |
| 1h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $229 |
| 1h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $193 |
| 1h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $193 |
| 2h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $73 |
| 2h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $73 |
| 3h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $29 |
| 4h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $1 |
| 4h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $52 |
| 5h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | hugecaulkMid | Sell | No | 86¢ | $816 |
| 5h ago | zthunderfuryMid | Sell | No | 86¢ | $20 |
| 5h ago | zthunderfuryMid | Sell | No | 86¢ | $280 |
| 5h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 15¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 15¢ | $2 |
| 5h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 15¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 15¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 15¢ | $0 |
| 5h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 15¢ | $3 |
| 5h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 15¢ | $3 |
| 5h ago | hugecaulkMid | Sell | No | 86¢ | $3,483 |
| 5h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 15¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 15¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 15¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 15¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 15¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 15¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 15¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 15¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 15¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 15¢ | $2 |
| 6h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 15¢ | $2 |
| 6h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 15¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 15¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 15¢ | $2 |
| 6h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 15¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 15¢ | $2 |
| 6h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 15¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 15¢ | $4 |
| 6h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 15¢ | $3 |
| 6h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 15¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 15¢ | $4 |
| 6h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 15¢ | $3 |
| 7h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 15¢ | $4 |