Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?
ActiveLiquidity $143.6K·Volume $870.7K·Ends Jan 1, 2028
Price now:Yes6%No94%
Smart money leans
No
94% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
96%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
94%price94%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$5,340 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$7,086
72h +$6,773
Smart money entered95¢94¢at 07:33(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy7h agoResolvesin 416d(Jan 1, 2028)Liquidity$143.6K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $5,340 riding on it.
The price of 94% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 95¢; the price was 94¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$7,086, +$6,773 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:33
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 92¢ | $204 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 92¢ | $204 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 92¢ | $205 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $206 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $206 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 92¢ | $204 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 92¢ | $204 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $206 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $206 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 92¢ | $205 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 2.6¢ | $6 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 2.6¢ | $6 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 3.2¢ | $2 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $207 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $208 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $208 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $207 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 3.2¢ | $4 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 3.2¢ | $4 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $193 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $193 |
| 7h ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $969 |
| 8h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 2.4¢ | $12 |
| 20h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $29 |
| 20h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $29 |
| 20h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 20h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 20h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 20h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 20h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 20h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $2 |
| 20h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $2 |
| 20h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 20h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $2 |
| 20h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $2 |
| 20h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 20h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 20h ago | justme003Mid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $32 |
| 20h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $3 |
| 20h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $3 |
| 21h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 4.5¢ | $15 |
| 21h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 4.5¢ | $15 |
| 21h ago | justme003Mid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $366 |
| 21h ago | justme003Mid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $338 |
| 21h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 4.9¢ | $10 |
| 21h ago | justme003Mid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $10 |
| 21h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $17 |
| 21h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $17 |
| 21h ago | justme003Mid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $1,987 |
| 21h ago | justme003Mid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $1,633 |