Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?

3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are strongly betting on "No", with $6,021 riding on it.

The price of 31% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 42¢; the price was 31¢ at this snapshot.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$2,185, +$3,595 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.