Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
ActiveLiquidity $52.7K·Volume $562.8K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes3%No97%
Smart money leans
No
97% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
97%price97%model est.*
Smart wallets
8
$24.6K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$259
72h +$259
Smart money entered88¢97¢at 00:41(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy11h agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$52.7K
Explanation
8 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $24.6K riding on it.
The price of 97% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 88¢; the price was 97¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$259, +$259 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 00:41
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9h ago | stupid22Mid | Sell | No | 97¢ | $96 |
| 9h ago | stupid22Mid | Sell | No | 97¢ | $96 |
| 11h ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $224 |
| 11h ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $224 |
| 3d ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $10 |
| 3d ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $965 |
| 3d ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $175 |
| 3d ago | 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960Mid | Sell | No | 97¢ | $1,649 |
| 3d ago | 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960Mid | Sell | No | 97¢ | $99 |
| 4d ago | 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960Mid | Sell | No | 97¢ | $745 |
| 4d ago | stupid22Mid | Sell | No | 97¢ | $824 |
| 4d ago | stupid22Mid | Sell | No | 97¢ | $5 |
| 4d ago | stupid22Mid | Sell | No | 97¢ | $10 |
| 4d ago | stupid22Mid | Sell | No | 97¢ | $100 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Mid | Sell | No | 97¢ | $30 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Mid | Sell | No | 97¢ | $969 |
| 5d ago | siickMid | Sell | No | 97¢ | $161 |
| 5d ago | siickMid | Sell | No | 97¢ | $1,009 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Mid | Sell | No | 96¢ | $394 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $14,461 |
| 6d ago | ponydsbMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $18 |
| 6d ago | ponydsbMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $9 |
| 1w ago | ZaratustraMid | Sell | No | 95¢ | $475 |
| 1w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $924 |
| 1w ago | ZaratustraMid | Sell | No | 92¢ | $402 |
| 1w ago | ZaratustraMid | Sell | No | 92¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960Mid | Buy | No | 86¢ | $255 |
| 1w ago | 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960Mid | Buy | No | 84¢ | $42 |
| 1w ago | 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960Mid | Buy | No | 84¢ | $221 |
| 1w ago | 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960Mid | Buy | No | 84¢ | $42 |
| 1w ago | 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960Mid | Buy | No | 84¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960Mid | Buy | No | 84¢ | $235 |
| 1w ago | 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960Mid | Buy | No | 84¢ | $235 |
| 1w ago | StarMasterMid | Sell | No | 90¢ | $1,124 |
| 1w ago | ZaratustraMid | Sell | No | 92¢ | $57 |
| 1w ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 90¢ | $2,861 |
| 1w ago | 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $2,160 |
| 2w ago | ponydsbMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $26 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $71 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $5 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $12 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $63 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $0 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $0 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $7 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $2 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 91¢ | $1,549 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $46 |
| 2w ago | kekkoneMid | Sell | No | 92¢ | $664 |
| 4w ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 92¢ | $184 |