Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
ActiveLiquidity $45.3K·Volume $386.9K·Ends Jan 1, 2028
Price now:Yes34%No66%
Smart money leans
No
66% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.2pp
model below price
Consensus
55%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
66%price66%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,920 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$3,168
72h -$177
Smart money entered64¢66¢at 07:35Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5h agoResolvesin 416d(Jan 1, 2028)Liquidity$45.3K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is narrowly leaning toward betting on "No", with $1,920 riding on it.
The price of 66% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 64¢; the price was 66¢ at this snapshot.
Note: only $1,920 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$3,168, -$177 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:35
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5h ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 64¢ | $754 |
| 6h ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 64¢ | $1,183 |
| 6h ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 64¢ | $1,166 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 31¢ | $94 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 31¢ | $94 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 34¢ | $23 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 34¢ | $3 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 34¢ | $8 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 34¢ | $23 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 34¢ | $3 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 34¢ | $8 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 34¢ | $33 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 34¢ | $33 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 63¢ | $125 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 63¢ | $125 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 34¢ | $2 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 35¢ | $35 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 38¢ | $75 |
| 20h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 65¢ | $65 |
| 20h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 65¢ | $65 |
| 1d ago | DragontreeMid | Sell | No | 70¢ | $716 |
| 1d ago | DragontreeMid | Sell | No | 70¢ | $716 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $17 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $17 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $57 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | DragontreeMid | Sell | No | 72¢ | $108 |
| 2d ago | DragontreeMid | Buy | No | 71¢ | $220 |
| 2d ago | DragontreeMid | Buy | No | 71¢ | $71 |
| 2d ago | DragontreeMid | Sell | No | 71¢ | $142 |