Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $160.5K·Volume $1.6M·Ends Dec 10, 2026
Price now:Yes96%No4%
Smart money leans
Yes
96% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
74%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
96%price96%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$1,342 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$70.0K
72h +$70.0K
Smart money entered75¢96¢at 13:59(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy23h agoResolvesin 30d(Dec 10, 2026)Liquidity$160.5K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are strongly betting on "Yes", with $1,342 riding on it.
The price of 96% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 75¢; the price was 96¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,342 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$70.0K, +$70.0K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 13:59
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Sell | No | 5.0¢ | $2,092 |
| 1h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Sell | No | 5.0¢ | $2,092 |
| 1h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Sell | No | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Sell | No | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 5h ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | Yes | 89¢ | $40 |
| 5h ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | Yes | 89¢ | $40 |
| 5h ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | Yes | 89¢ | $40 |
| 5h ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | Yes | 89¢ | $40 |
| 5h ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | Yes | 87¢ | $13 |
| 5h ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | Yes | 87¢ | $13 |
| 5h ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | Yes | 87¢ | $58 |
| 5h ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | Yes | 87¢ | $58 |
| 5h ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | Yes | 88¢ | $80 |
| 5h ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | Yes | 88¢ | $80 |
| 5h ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | Yes | 87¢ | $13 |
| 5h ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | Yes | 87¢ | $13 |
| 5h ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | Yes | 87¢ | $58 |
| 5h ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | Yes | 87¢ | $58 |
| 5h ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | Yes | 88¢ | $80 |
| 5h ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | Yes | 88¢ | $80 |
| 5h ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | Yes | 86¢ | $69 |
| 5h ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | Yes | 86¢ | $69 |
| 5h ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | Yes | 86¢ | $14 |
| 5h ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | Yes | 86¢ | $38 |
| 5h ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | Yes | 86¢ | $39 |
| 5h ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | Yes | 86¢ | $14 |
| 5h ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | Yes | 86¢ | $38 |
| 5h ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | Yes | 86¢ | $39 |
| 5h ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | Yes | 86¢ | $13 |
| 5h ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | Yes | 86¢ | $6 |
| 5h ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | Yes | 86¢ | $18 |
| 5h ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | Yes | 86¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | Yes | 86¢ | $11 |
| 5h ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | Yes | 86¢ | $15 |
| 5h ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | Yes | 86¢ | $15 |
| 5h ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | Yes | 86¢ | $4 |
| 5h ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | Yes | 86¢ | $39 |
| 5h ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | Yes | 86¢ | $19 |
| 5h ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | Yes | 86¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | Yes | 86¢ | $42 |
| 5h ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | Yes | 86¢ | $3 |
| 5h ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | Yes | 86¢ | $40 |
| 5h ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | Yes | 86¢ | $31 |
| 5h ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | Yes | 84¢ | $35 |
| 5h ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | Yes | 84¢ | $53 |
| 5h ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | Yes | 85¢ | $5 |
| 5h ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | Yes | 85¢ | $5 |
| 5h ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | Yes | 85¢ | $65 |
| 5h ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | Yes | 84¢ | $49 |
| 5h ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | Yes | 84¢ | $53 |