TailSlip
Log in

Command Palette

Search for a command to run...

Will Trump meet with Andy Burnham by November 30, 2026?

ActiveLiquidity $3,934·Volume $3,472·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes5%No96%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 06:45computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
96% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
96%price96%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$645 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h -$69
Smart money entered85¢96¢at 06:45(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5d agoResolvesin 20d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$3,934
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $645 riding on it.

The price of 96% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 85¢; the price was 96¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $645 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have trimmed -$69 on this position.

Delayed 1h · as of 06:45
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1d agoUdonsanTopSellNo93¢$34
1d agoUdonsanTopSellNo93¢$34
5d agoUdonsanTopBuyNo87¢$6
1w agoUdonsanTopBuyNo85¢$12
1w agoUdonsanTopBuyNo85¢$232
1w agoxxNyxMidSellNo85¢$170
1w agoUdonsanTopBuyNo85¢$425
1w agoxxNyxMidBuyNo74¢$133
1w agoxxNyxMidBuyNo74¢$15
1w agotitle1MidSellNo80¢$65
1w agotitle1MidBuyYes26¢$5
1w agotitle1MidBuyYes30¢$18
1w agotitle1MidBuyYes21¢$8
1w agotitle1MidBuyYes13¢$3
1w agotitle1MidBuyNo62¢$0
1w agotitle1MidBuyNo56¢$125