US strike on Mexico by December 31?
ActiveLiquidity $27.0K·Volume $774.8K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes3%No97%
Smart money leans
No
97% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
97%price97%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$21.3K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered91¢97¢at 14:43(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6d agoResolvesin 52d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$27.0K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $21.3K riding on it.
The price of 97% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 91¢; the price was 97¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $21.3K of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 14:43
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $1,605 |
| 2w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $1,569 |
| 5w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $1,425 |
| 5w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $279 |
| 5w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $744 |
| 5w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 92¢ | $1,610 |
| 6w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $7,280 |
| 9w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 90¢ | $122 |
| 9w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 90¢ | $377 |
| 9w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $63 |
| 9w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 90¢ | $54 |
| 9w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 90¢ | $90 |
| 10w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 90¢ | $900 |
| 10w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 86¢ | $4,250 |
| 11w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 86¢ | $50 |
| 11w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 86¢ | $39 |
| 12w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 87¢ | $87 |