Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $14.7K·Volume $65.5K·Ends Dec 31, 2026
Price now:Yes10%No90%
Smart money leans
No
90% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
90%price90%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$297 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered83¢90¢at 07:45(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 51d(Dec 31, 2026)Liquidity$14.7K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $297 riding on it.
The price of 90% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 83¢; the price was 90¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $297 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:45
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3w ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 91¢ | $8 |
| 3w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 87¢ | $8 |
| 6w ago | viniiTop | Sell | Yes | 7.0¢ | $20 |
| 6w ago | viniiTop | Sell | Yes | 8.0¢ | $25 |
| 6w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $3,118 |
| 6w ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $7 |
| 6w ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 86¢ | $108 |
| 6w ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 86¢ | $36 |
| 7w ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 11¢ | $3 |
| 7w ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 10¢ | $14 |
| 7w ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $3 |
| 7w ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $4 |
| 7w ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $4 |
| 7w ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $4 |
| 7w ago | viniiTop | Sell | Yes | 9.2¢ | $175 |
| 7w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 74¢ | $370 |
| 7w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 70¢ | $49 |
| 7w ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 7.8¢ | $477 |
| 11w ago | siickMid | Buy | Yes | 11¢ | $2 |
| 12w ago | siickMid | Buy | Yes | 11¢ | $0 |
| 12w ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 81¢ | $154 |
| 12w ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 22¢ | $4 |